Assessing My NBA Predictions

About a week before the season began, I made predictions on team’s over/unders given by Vegas as well as predictions on who would win awards this offseason.

*Note* I did not have this website back then but I was writing these types of pieces on Google Docs. I say this to maintain the integrity of my picks as they truly were made about 6-7 months ago. 

Let’s take a look

Eastern Conference

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I went 10 for 15 on correctly picking the over under on teams from the Eastern Conference. The injuries to Gordon Hayward and Kyrie Irving definitely affected my Celtics pick. For the Cleveland Cavaliers, I overrated their ability and drive to win in the regular season. The Charlotte Hornets and Brooklyn Nets both did not live up to their potential according to what I once believed. Chicago managed to overachieve because of that ridiculous winning streak early in the season.

Western Conference

Screen Shot 2018-04-25 at 7.23.16 PM

I did even better predicting the Western Conference by going 11 for 15. I believed too much in the Thunder to win 52 games this season. Also you could say my Minnesota bias came out but they were only one game away from proving me right. If Jimmy Butler had not been sidelined for two months they easily would have reached this mark. Or if you just eliminate one of their awful losses to the teams out east or to the Phoenix Suns. I underestimated the power of The Brow as he an Jrue Holiday have put the team on their backs even without DeMarcus Cousins. The Los Angeles Lakers meanwhile could not prove me right by reaching 34 wins.

Overall I went 21 for 30 which is really solid rate.

I will return to this topic later but here is who I picked for NBA award winners:

Screen Shot 2018-04-25 at 7.24.32 PM.png

These seem to be really hard to pick. In retrospect I should have given the MVP runner up, James Harden, more of a chance but I guess I was not feeling The Beard back then.

I have always been a believer that you should only win Rookie of the Year in the year you were drafted. I have felt this way ever since Blake Griffen stole the Rookie of the Year from John Wall in the 2010-2011 season. This is why Ben Simmons is no where to be found in my predictions. Donovan Mitchell should be this year’s Rookie of the Year but me, like many others, did not expect that and that is why he isn’t in my predictions.

For 6th man of the year, I actually have a really good shot to get this one right. My idea Jamal Crawford coming in second will be way off but Louis Williams has been fantastic this season.

Most Improved has to be Victor Oladipo. No ifs, ands, or buts.

Coach of the Year is another one I have a good shot at getting right. It is definitely going to come down between the three that I have listed.

 

 

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